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Tax Cuts Not the Remedy: Tory Candidates Have No Realistic Plan to Tackle UK Crisis, Observers Admit_我的网站

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A | 　　8月25日，济南黄岗路黄河隧道建成通车。 "I think the end of the Johnson administration is a positive thing, despite the infighting," says Rodney Atkinson, an academic and political and economic commentator. "The candidates may be promising irresponsible tax cuts and not understanding how the economy works but the public debate is more mature and in the end the right policies could emerge.",One of the candidates, Sajid Javid, former health secretary, vowed to axe the former chancellor’s plans to raise the corporation tax from 19% to 25% in April 2023, and decrease the rate to 15%. His competitor Jeremy Hunt pledged the lowest rate of business taxes in the Western world, while Liz Truss, yet another contender, is also willing to adhere to "low-tax principles." In contrast, former Chancellor Rishi Sunak, who is seeking the prime ministership along with his party fellows, has placed emphasis on "fiscal prudence" rather than tax cuts, while criticizing other candidates for offering "comforting fairytales.","There are two economic issues here," explains Gayle Allard, a professor of economics at IE University in Spain. "One is the debt, which is clearly a problem for the UK and which would be aggravated by tax cuts. The other is the dilemma between trying to restart growth (which requires a tax cut) and to control very high inflation (which requires a tax increase). And then there is a political objective: voters like tax cuts. Which will win out? I would hope for a short-term tax increase, with the government keeping its promise to reduce it later. I think that makes the most sense.",According to Atkinson, those who are promoting tax cuts without at least equal cuts in state spending are "totally irresponsible.",While the bulk of the candidates are promising anything between 20 and 40 billion in tax cuts, what everyone's really pledging is "to reverse the increase, which was implemented as of April 1," according to Marc Ostwald, chief economist at ADM Investor Services International.,"Let's take, for instance, the corporation tax cut which is being proposed," Ostwald says. "It's not actually a tax cut, because really all it is, is basically saying 'we're not going to implement the increase from 19% to 25% in corporation tax that is planned for next year.' Only Jeremy Hunt, I think, amongst them all is basically pledging to actually cut it down to 15%.",UK's Tory Government Faces Social Collapse, Having No-One But Itself to Blame21 June, 05:48 GMT,However, there are plenty of problems that cannot be fixed by the much-discussed tax cuts, Ostwald underscores: "The UK's infrastructure is atrocious; the level of poverty in the country is bad; the cost of living crisis [is] somewhat worse in the UK than across much of the rest of the developed world.",British unions kicked off a series of industrial actions starting from June 2022, demanding pay raises in line with skyrocketing inflation and protesting over the cost of living crisis. Tens of thousands of railway workers walked off the job in Britain on June 21. Criminal law barristers took to the streets on June 27. Teachers' unions and the civil service have been balloted on possible industrial action, while doctors and nurses are threatening to follow suit. Meanwhile, British rail and transport workers have voted in favor of a new strike in July.,There are also a whole array of problems related to Brexit, including red tape and other "non-tariff barriers" which translated into additional costs for businesses and are eating away at their margins, according to the economist. He laments the fact that neither the Tory nor Labour Party has so far proposed any solutions to these problems.,'We Want to Save Lives': How Tory Cabinets Pushed NHS to the Wall, Disregarded Nation's Health28 June, 17:52 GMT,UK's Political Instability Making Crisis Worse,The unfolding socio-economic instability has been exacerbated by Johnson's resignation and the internal infighting among British Tories is to some extent "damaging the economy by creating unnecessary uncertainty," according to Kevin Dowd, professor of finance and economics at Durham University.,"[A] lot will depend on who wins the leadership," Dowd says. "There are one, maybe two, decent candidates in there but for the most part they are a sorry lot, and I am not optimistic that a good prime minister will emerge… Most if not all of these people do not have a strong grasp of what the country needs, so I expect a lot more policy drift and a bad outcome for the Tories in the next general election.",A big number of contenders for BoJo's position "shows actually that Johnson has left a bit of a vacuum, because he was to some extent actually quite popular, despite all his lies, despite all his gaffes, despite his incompetent policies, despite all the back to and froing," according to Ostwald.,However, none of the 11 contenders "stands out as a genuine leader, as a prime minister, as a leader of a country," the economist emphasizes.,Boris Johnson Pledges Not to Back Any Tory Bidder as 'Dirty' Leadership Race Gains SteamYesterday, 14:30 GMT,'It's Johnson's Fault',It is Johnson who bears "90 percent" of responsibility for the current crisis, the economic observers argue.,"[Johnson] had let state finances get out of control before the COVID Lockdown spending," Atkinson says. "He has been the most irresponsible prime minister since Edward Heath who between 1970 and 1974 led a spending and monetary expansion boom. It resulted in the International Monetary Fund (IMF) controlling the UK economy in 1975. Johnson’s first instinct was more Government and more spending and more borrowing. We will be paying for his failure for decades.",Johnson "must bear a lot of the blame," Kevin Dowd agrees. While having a huge parliamentary majority and the opportunity to make radical reforms free of the shackles of the EU, Johnson "blew it," according to the professor.,"What are the chances of the UK going into recession? I think it's pretty much baked in the cake," echoes Ostwald. "There isn't a lot of momentum there. The trade position is getting worse. The cost of living crisis is quite clearly there and the investment into the UK is getting weaker and I would add that this whole methodology of applying sanctions by seizing assets is particularly bad for the UK. The UK has been attracting foreign capital from Russia, from the Middle East, from Asia, from pretty much anywhere that one can think of for a very, very long time.",However, it's not only the outgoing prime minister who is responsible for the current crisis in the UK, the economist admits: "These have been accumulating for years. People have been going to the food banks in the UK since the numbers started rising in the early 2010s after the global financial crisis and the numbers got a lot worse than in the meantime, particularly due to the cost of living crisis," Ostwald concluded.。至此，济南在黄河之下已拥有两条世界级大直径盾构隧道，“四桥四隧”跨黄通道群加速成网。　　这不是一条普通的跨黄隧道。

B | 回望中国跨江、跨河通道史，1957年武汉长江大桥通车，将三镇缝合成一座大武汉，开启了长江城市的跨江融合时代;1991年上海南浦大桥飞架浦江，延安东路隧道穿江而过，浦东从“烂泥渡”一跃成为国际金融中心。　　交通设施的跨越式升级，从来都是改写城市基因的关键变量。对于被黄河穿城而过的济南而言，黄岗路黄河隧道的通车，意味着这座城市再一次改写城市空间格局，从“跨黄”加速迈向“拥黄”——黄河，正在从城市天堑变为城市内河。济南又一条跨黄隧道开通，城市基因彻底再次改写　　济南日报·爱济南记者崔健摄　　17.5米直径，世界之“最”的硬核实力　　走进黄岗路黄河隧道，给人的第一印象就是“大”—— 　　世界最大直径水下盾构隧道，开挖直径达17.5米的“山河号”盾构机，相当于六层楼高，刀盘面积240平方米，可覆盖2套三室两厅的商品房;隧道单洞双层布置，上层自南向北，下层自北向南，在国内穿黄隧道中尚属首例。4.2米的内部净高，可满足通行公交、消防、管理及救援车辆等要求。　　为何要造如此“大”的隧道?“一次开挖，即得两层，实现两洞隧道的交通功能。

C | ”中铁十四局黄岗路黄河隧道项目现场负责人周祥解释，如此设计不仅节约了宝贵的地下空间，更让工程投资减少约15%。但“大”也意味着前所未有的挑战。17米级超大直径盾构机的系统集成更复杂，制造难度、施工难度和风险系数也呈几何式增长。

D | 　　更大考验来自黄河本身。黄河济南段是典型的“地上悬河”，地质复杂如“满是核桃的粘糕”。“这就既要防‘粘牙’，又要防卡泵、损刀具。”面对这些世界级难题，“山河号”搭载的“五官一脑”智能化装备系统，不仅“看得远”“听得清”;更“有知觉”“会号脉”，轻松实现全流程感知、预警和智能决策。　　此外，为守护市民“大水缸”鹊山水库，项目团队还首创“絮凝+提浓+压滤”泥浆处理工艺，实现尾水零外排，每日泥浆处理效率提高50%，滤饼的含水率降低至30%以下，达成效率与环保的双赢。

E | 　　据悉，该工程先后攻克28项技术难题，申报专利22件，创造17米级盾构施工世界纪录。

F | 正是这些硬核科技，支撑起“世界最大”的底气。　　从桥梁到隧道，跨黄方式持续升级　　穿城而过的黄河，曾是济南的“成长烦恼”。南依泰山余脉，北临黄河，过去很长一段时间，济南因城市空间被夹在山与河之间，伸展不开手脚。　　为打通南北发展脉络，济南持续布局跨黄通道。20世纪80年代，济南黄河大桥建成通车，结束了黄河两岸靠摆渡过河的历史。此后几十年间，济阳黄河大桥、建邦黄河大桥、齐河黄河大桥相继落成，一座座桥梁如巨龙横卧黄河之上。　　然而，桥梁受限于通航净空、防洪要求和环境影响，桥位选择越来越难，建设成本也越来越高。在黄河流域生态保护和高质量发展的国家战略下，建设者又给出了一项新“选择”。“与修建桥梁相比，隧道可以‘悄悄’从河底钻过，不影响一舟一帆，最大限度保护河道生态与自然景观。

G | ”中铁十四局济南黄岗路黄河隧道项目党支部书记薛正生表示。　　2021年9月，“万里黄河第一隧”济南济泺路黄河隧道通车，超大直径盾构隧道首次穿越地上“悬河”，自此济南开启了穿黄隧道时代。

H | 四年后的今天，黄岗路黄河隧道的建成通车，让济南的“跨黄”之路越走越宽。

I | 　　从架桥到钻隧，变的不只是工程方式，济南跨黄通道的“打开方式”也在不断升级。　　“四桥四隧”成网，黄河渐成“城中河” 　　桥隧通，则产业兴、城市活。黄岗路黄河隧道不只是一条过河通道，更是为城市“解绑”的关键一步。

J | 而这样的“解绑”效果，早已在起步区得到印证。　　数据不会说谎。济南黄河大桥新桥通车一年后日均车流量突破5万辆，过河仅需3分钟;鹊山生态文化区自开园以来已累计接待客流约307万人次……桥隧带来的不仅是物理距离的缩短，还有生活方式的重塑。　　对于市民而言，变化首先体现在出行成本的断崖式下降。在核研院工作的刘坤良算过一笔账，得益于桥隧免费通行政策，他每年通勤成本能省下7000多元，越来越多市民开始选择“南岸居住、北岸工作”或“北岸安家、南岸消费”的双向生活模式，节假日跨河看演出、品美食也成为新消费趋势。

K | 　　物流效率同样在改写。在桑梓店街道做物流生意的李涛说，以前从主城区调运产品到起步区需提前一天备货;如今走黄河大桥新桥，1小时内就能送达，物流效率提升30%。交通设施的完善，正成为撬动起步区产业导入与人才集聚的“强引擎”。　　“它如同强劲的‘输血管’，将人才、资金、技术源源不断输送至黄河北岸。”薛正生告诉记者。黄岗路黄河隧道通车后，将进一步促进济南拥河发展，加速黄河两岸经济交流与合作。　　事实上，黄岗路黄河隧道只是济南“四桥四隧”跨黄通道布局中的关键一环。

L | 向西看，“万里黄河第一隧”济泺路黄河隧道已通车运行;向东望，连接遥墙机场的航天大道黄河隧道正加紧建设，三条世界级大直径盾构隧道，在黄河之下构成了举世罕见的“超级隧道群”。　　如今，这些超级通道，正在深刻改变济南的城市格局。随着“四桥四隧”全部贯通，黄河将真正变成“城中河”，两岸通勤时间将进一步压缩。　　一条隧道贯通南北，一城格局焕然新生。这不仅是交通格局的重塑，更是城市DNA的改写——从被动“跨黄”到主动“拥黄”，从依水而建到向河而兴。